IF Iran is to be prevented from becoming a nuclear power, it is the US that will have to do the preventing, to do it by means of a bombing campaign, and to do it soon. When I first predicted a year or so ago that (George W.) Bush would bomb Iran's nuclear facilities once he had played out the futile diplomatic string, the obstacles that stood in his way were great but they did not strike me as insurmountable. Now, thanks in large part to the new US National Intelligence Estimate, they have grown so formidable that I can only stick by my prediction with what the NIE itself would describe as low-to-moderate confidence.
For Bush is right about the resemblance between 2008 and 1938. In 1938, as Winston Churchill later said, Hitler could still have been stopped at a relatively low price and many millions of lives could have been saved if England and France had not deceived themselves about the realities of their situation. It is the same in 2008, when Iran can still be stopped from getting the bomb and even more millions of lives can be saved, but only provided that we summon up the courage to see what is staring us in the face and then act on what we see.
Unless we do, the forces that are blindly working to ensure that Iran will get the bomb are likely to prevail even against the clear-sighted determination of Bush, just as the forces of appeasement did against Churchill in 1938. In which case, we had all better pray that there will be enough time for the next president to discharge the responsibility that Bush will have been forced to pass on, and that this successor will also have the clarity and the courage to discharge it.
If not - God help us all - the stage will have been set for the outbreak of a nuclear war that will become as inescapable then as it is avoidable now.
What a thoroughly evil entity! "Low and dishonest", he's called here. Indeed! Given his age, it is quite possible that Podhoretz is very much aware of who really conjured up Hitler! He'd much rather sweep all that under the carpet while he and his band of nutjobs try to conjure up WW III.
Cross-posted @ The Cylinder